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Large-scale model ‘CAPRI’

Rationale of use

The CAPRI (Common Agricultural Policy Regional Impact) modelling system is designed for conducting projections and impact analyses of agricultural and environmental policies. It offers valuable insights into the design of CAP interventions, including financial allocations and ex-ante evaluations. This tool is being tested in one of the Case Studies of Tools4CAP.

Functioning

The tool uses specific modules to cover input and output coefficients, facilitating seamless integration of data across time and space. The supply module, composed of independent aggregate nonlinear programming models, optimizes regional agricultural income by considering input and output prices, subsidy levels, and policy measures. Prices are provided exogenously by the market module. CAPRI’s global market model includes around 60 products, some of which are produced by overlapping activities in the supply module. The model provides detailed coverage of the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), including both Pillar 1 (coupled and decoupled subsidies) and Pillar 2 subsidies (such as Less Favoured Area support, agri-environmental measures, and Natura 2000 support). With its relatively high spatial resolution (at NUTS2 level), CAPRI is particularly effective at simulating the effects of decoupled payments. Data for CAPRI is sourced from a variety of reputable databases, including Eurostat, FAOSTAT, US Energy Information Administration, DG AGRI, AGLINK, USDA GAIN reports, and EURACTIV.

Types of outputs

The CAPRI tool produces interactive maps and thematic tables, allowing users to explore the effects of various policy scenarios. These scenarios primarily focus on the first pillar of CAP, including payment schemes like the Single Area Payment Scheme, various Coupled Support Schemes, and Eco-schemes.

Relevant CAP objective

SO1

Tool name

Large-scale model ‘CAPRI’

Category

Policy analysis tools for evidence-based decisions

Tool category

Large-scale modelling tools

MS

Germany

Author or owner

Institute for Food and Resource Economics (ILR) at the University of Bonn - Germany

Relevant tasks

CSP Design: Intervention Setting
CSP Design: Financial Allocation
CSP Design: Ex-ante analysis and SEA

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